Mainshock+aftershock forecasts from Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models (RELM) experiment

  • William H Savran (Creator)
  • Max Werner (Creator)
  • Danijel Schorlemmer (Creator)
  • Philip J Maechling (Creator)

Dataset

Description

Contains mainshock+aftershock forecasts produced by various members of the working group for the development of Regional Earthquake Likelihood Models. These forecasts were obtained from the Collaboratory of the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP) testing center hosted by the Southern California Earthquake Center at the University of Southern California.

Forecasts are described by the following publications

Helmstetter et al. (2007) with aftershocksKagan et al. (2007)Shen et al. (2007)Bird & Liu (2007)Ebel et al. (2007) with aftershocks

Forecasts are stored in tab separated value files with the following fields (the first row of data is shown as an example):

LON_0 LON_1 LAT_0 LAT_1 DEPTH_0 DEPTH_1 MAG_0 MAG_1 RATE FLAG
-125.4 -125.3 40.1 40.2 0.0 30.0 4.95 5.05 5.8499099999999998e-04 1


References

Bird, P., and Z. Liu (2007). Seismic Hazard Inferred from Tectonics: California, Seismological  Research Letters 78 37-48.

Ebel, J. E., D. W. Chambers, A. L. Kafka, and J. A. Baglivo (2007). Non-Poissonian Earthquake Clustering and the Hidden Markov Model as Bases for Earthquake Forecasting in California, Seismological  Research Letters 78 57-65.

Helmstetter, A., Y. Y. Kagan, and D. D. Jackson (2007). High-resolution Time-independent Grid-based Forecast for M >= 5 Earthquakes in California, Seismological  Research Letters 78 78-86.

Kagan, Y. Y., D. D. Jackson, and Y. Rong (2007). A Testable Five-Year Forecast of Moderate and Large Earthquakes in Southern California Based on Smoothed Seismicity, Seismological  Research Letters 78 94-98.

Shen, Z.-K., D. D. Jackson, and Y. Y. Kagan (2007). Implications of Geodetic Strain Rate for Future Earthquakes, with a Five-Year Forecast of M5 Earthquakes in Southern California, Seismological  Research Letters 78 116-120

 
Date made available7 Jul 2021
PublisherZenodo

Cite this