Description
Contains two global earthquake-rate forecasts developed by Bayona et al. (2021) to be prospectively evaluated by the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). The Tectonic Earthquake Activity Model (TEAM) is a geodetic-based model using Version 2.1 of the Global Strain Rate Map (GSRM2.1; Kreemer et al., 2014), while the World Hybrid Earthquake Estimates based on Likelihood scores (WHEEL) is a model obtained from a multiplicative log-linear combination of TEAM with the Smoothed Seismicity (KJSS) model of Kagan and Jackson (2011).
Earthquake densities are expressed as number of M5.95+ events per unit 0.1<sup>o</sup> cell per year. The forecasts are stored in tab separated value files, with the following fields (the first row of data is shown as an example):
<sub>lon_min</sub><sub>lon_max</sub><sub>lat_min</sub><sub>lat_max</sub><sub>depth_min</sub><sub>depth_max</sub><sub>5.95</sub><sub>6.05</sub>...<sub>-180.0</sub><sub>-179.9</sub><sub>-90.0</sub><sub>-89.9</sub><sub>0.0</sub><sub>70.0</sub><sub>4.95e-11</sub><sub>3.97e-11</sub>...
Data and forecasts are described in detail in the following publications:
Bayona, J.A., Savran, W., Strader, A., Hainzl, S., Cotton, F. and Schorlemmer, D., 2021. Two global ensemble seismicity models obtained from the combination of interseismic strain measurements and earthquake-catalogue information. <em>Geophysical Journal International</em>, <em>224</em>(3), pp.1945-1955.
Kreemer, C., Blewitt, G. and Klein, E.C., 2014. A geodetic plate motion and Global Strain Rate Model. <em>Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems</em>, <em>15</em>(10), pp.3849-3889.
Kagan, Y.Y. and Jackson, D.D., 2011. Global earthquake forecasts. <em>Geophysical Journal International</em>, <em>184</em>(2), pp.759-776.
Earthquake densities are expressed as number of M5.95+ events per unit 0.1<sup>o</sup> cell per year. The forecasts are stored in tab separated value files, with the following fields (the first row of data is shown as an example):
<sub>lon_min</sub><sub>lon_max</sub><sub>lat_min</sub><sub>lat_max</sub><sub>depth_min</sub><sub>depth_max</sub><sub>5.95</sub><sub>6.05</sub>...<sub>-180.0</sub><sub>-179.9</sub><sub>-90.0</sub><sub>-89.9</sub><sub>0.0</sub><sub>70.0</sub><sub>4.95e-11</sub><sub>3.97e-11</sub>...
Data and forecasts are described in detail in the following publications:
Bayona, J.A., Savran, W., Strader, A., Hainzl, S., Cotton, F. and Schorlemmer, D., 2021. Two global ensemble seismicity models obtained from the combination of interseismic strain measurements and earthquake-catalogue information. <em>Geophysical Journal International</em>, <em>224</em>(3), pp.1945-1955.
Kreemer, C., Blewitt, G. and Klein, E.C., 2014. A geodetic plate motion and Global Strain Rate Model. <em>Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems</em>, <em>15</em>(10), pp.3849-3889.
Kagan, Y.Y. and Jackson, D.D., 2011. Global earthquake forecasts. <em>Geophysical Journal International</em>, <em>184</em>(2), pp.759-776.
| Date made available | 18 Feb 2022 |
|---|---|
| Publisher | Zenodo |