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Personal profile

Research interests

My research centres on past climate change, with a focus on (i) understanding how and why climate has changed in the past and (ii) what we can learn about the future from the past.  My main tools are climate models, and much of my work is underpinned by model-data comparisons.

(i) The analysis and interpretation of past climate data has led to the formation of many hypotheses regarding the mechanisms affecting past climate change. Models are ideal tools to test these hypotheses. In addition, modelling can itself lead to hypotheses which are testable by the collection and interpretation of new data, and can indicate regions in which new data could usefully be collected.

(ii) Past climate data can also inform our predictions of the future, through providing analogues of future climate change under high carbon dioxide concentrations, and through the evaluation of models used to predict the future.

Both of these aspects are central to the Deep-Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP), which I lead. 

Much of my work focuses on characterising Climate Sensitivity, the globally averaged increase in temperature due to a doubling of carbon dioxide.  Associated with this I am a Lead Author on the forthcoming Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change sixth assessment report (IPCC AR6).

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PEN feasibility

Lunt, D. J.

15/03/18 → …

Project: Research

SWEET NERC Large Grant

Lunt, D. J.


Project: Research

Research Output

  • 131 Article (Academic Journal)
  • 5 Review article (Academic Journal)
  • 2 Chapter in a book
  • 1 Editorial (Academic Journal)

A long-term, high-latitude record of Eocene hydrological change in the Greenland region

Inglis, G. N., Carmichael, M. J., Farnsworth, A., Lunt, D. J. & Pancost, R. D., 1 Jan 2020, In : Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. 537, 109378.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

  • 1 Citation (Scopus)

    Asteroid impact, not volcanism, caused the end-Cretaceous dinosaur extinction

    Chiarenza, A. A., Farnsworth, A., Mannion, P. D., Lunt, D. J., Valdes, P., Morgan, J. V. & Allison, P. A., 21 Jul 2020, In : Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 117, 29, p. 17084-17093 10 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

    Open Access
  • 11 Downloads (Pure)

    Changes in the high latitude Southern Hemisphere through the Eocene-Oligocene Transition: a model-data comparison

    Kennedy-Asser, A. T., Lunt, D. J., Valdes, P. J., Ladant, J-B., Frieling, J. & Lauretano, V., 19 Mar 2020, In : Climate of the Past. 16, p. 555-573 19 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

    Open Access
  • 46 Downloads (Pure)


    • 1 Participation in workshop, seminar, course

    H2020: ITN planning meeting on the Eocene-Oligocene transition

    Dan J Lunt (Participant)

    3 Jul 2018

    Activity: Participating in or organising an event typesParticipation in workshop, seminar, course

    Supervised Work

    Climatic and oceanic changes across the Eocene-Oligocene Transition

    Author: Kennedy-Asser, A., 25 Jun 2019

    Supervisor: Payne, T. (Supervisor), Lunt, D. (Supervisor) & Cornford, S. (Supervisor)

    Student thesis: Doctoral ThesisDoctor of Philosophy (PhD)


    Critically Evaluating The Role of The Deep Subsurface In The Chemical Weathering Thermostat

    Author: Hayes, N. R., 1 Oct 2019

    Supervisor: Buss, H. L. (Supervisor) & Lunt, D. J. (Supervisor)

    Student thesis: Doctoral ThesisDoctor of Philosophy (PhD)


    Trace gases in glaciated environments

    Author: Macdonald, M., 25 Jun 2019

    Supervisor: Wadham, J. (Supervisor) & Lunt, D. (Supervisor)

    Student thesis: Doctoral ThesisDoctor of Philosophy (PhD)