Research output per year
Research output per year
Personal profile
Research interests
My research focus is concerned with global and regional climate change on scales of 100 years in the past, to 100 years in the future. Specifically, I research how climate change alters the atmospheric circulation, extreme events, and impacts on human health. I look at attribution of past climate trends and extreme events, and projected changes under future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. My particular focus at the moment is on how low emission scenarios, consistent with the aims of the Paris Agreement on climate change, may impact society through changes in health (heat waves, cold snaps).
Focused research topics include:
- Stratospheric dynamics (mainly the polar vortex)
- Mid-latitude dynamics and the relationship to extreme weather.
- Temperature related health issues.
- Attribution of past climate, and projections of future climate.
- Extreme value statistics.
- Planetary atmospheres in the solar system.
Research Groups and Themes
- Cabot Institute Water Research
- Cabot Institute Food Security Research
- Cabot Institute Natural Hazards and Disasters Research
- Cabot Institute Environmental Change Research
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
Recent external collaboration on country/territory level. Dive into details by clicking on the dots or
Research output
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Approaches, challenges and applications of climate change impact attribution
Undorf, S., Dimitrova, A., Harrington, L., Hegerl, G. C., Jézéquel, A., Kimutai, J., Lo, Y. T. E., Mengel, M., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Pietroiusti, R., Pinto, I., Schurer, A., Scussolini, P., Sippel, S., Stone, D., Stuart-Smith, R. F., Gudmundsson, L., Huber, V., Colón-González, F. & Dellicour, S. & 15 others, , 15 Jun 2026, In: Nature Reviews Earth and Environment. 7, 7, p. 469-488 20 p.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
Open AccessFile27 Downloads (Pure) -
Health and Wellbeing
Mitchell, D. M., Newton, J. N., Adger, N., Bernie, D., Brown, K., Butler, C., Dearman, C., Fussell, J., Gillingham, E., Godwin, J. L., Jones, M., Kelly, F., Kovats, S., Landeg, O., Lo, Y. T. E., Morse, A., Murtagh, E., Onyeaka, H., Pinho-Gomes, C. & Taylor, T. & 3 others, , 20 May 2026, Climate Change Risk Assessment 4 Independent Assessment Technical Report. Lowe, J., Harrison, M. & Perks, R. (eds.). p. 1-107Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Chapter in a report
Open Access -
Increasing urban flash flood risk attributable to both climate and development
Cotterill, D. F., Mitchell, D. M., Scott, P. A., Bates, P. D., Rong, Y. & Archer, L., 2 Jul 2026, (E-pub ahead of print) In: Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 16 p., e70253.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
Open Access
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Extreme Health Modelling (Cabot pump primer)
Mitchell, D. M. (Principal Investigator)
Project: Research
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CRISIS: Cyclone Risk In Small Island States
Mitchell, D. M. (Principal Investigator), Bingham, R. J. (Co-Investigator), Payne, A. J. (Co-Investigator), Holcombe, E. A. (Co-Investigator), Bates, P. D. (Co-Investigator), Neal, J. (Co-Investigator) & Richards, D. A. (Co-Investigator)
Project: Research
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UNSEEN heatwave mortality
Shapland, C. Y. (Principal Investigator), Lo, E. (Co-Investigator), Tilling, K. M. (Co-Investigator) & Mitchell, D. M. (Co-Investigator)
1/06/23 → 31/05/24
Project: Research
Datasets
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Puerto Rico Probability of Flood Inundation Maps
Archer, L. (Creator), Neal, J. (Creator), Bates, P. (Creator), Vosper, E. (Creator), Carroll, D. (Creator), Sosa, J. (Creator) & Mitchell, D. (Creator), University of Bristol, 5 Dec 2023
DOI: 10.5523/bris.2qtinf5lw52u52snyl5ruwekef, http://data.bris.ac.uk/data/dataset/2qtinf5lw52u52snyl5ruwekef
Dataset
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Ball_et_al_2023_data
Ball, E. (Creator) & Mitchell, D. (Data Manager), University of Bristol, 13 Oct 2023
DOI: 10.5523/bris.2s9d9a2dnf8mk25u44ma3n85t9, http://data.bris.ac.uk/data/dataset/2s9d9a2dnf8mk25u44ma3n85t9
Dataset
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Ball_etal_2021_data
Mitchell, D. (Creator) & Ball, E. (Creator), University of Bristol, 14 Jul 2021
DOI: 10.5523/bris.3i92ii47fndkv2scy9jgrteg0x, http://data.bris.ac.uk/data/dataset/3i92ii47fndkv2scy9jgrteg0x
Dataset
Prizes
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Award for Impact
Mitchell, D. M. (Recipient) & Lo, E. (Recipient), 4 Jun 2025
Prize: Prizes, Medals, Awards and Grants