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Personal profile

Research interests

My research and teaching activities focus on improving the way we use data analysis and mathematical modelling for hydrology and water engineering applications. I trained as an environmental engineer at Technology University of Milan (Politecnico di Milano), where I also gained by PhD in Information Engineering, and I have worked at the University of Bristol since 2013.

Currently my two key research interests are: (1) the use of simulation and optimisation methods to support decision-making, particularly for water resource management, when decision-makers must consider multiple conflicting objectives and uncertain outcomes; (2) the analysis of uncertainty propagation through mathematical models, and in  particular models used in hydrology and in the assessment of natural hazards such as floods or landslides. Uncertainty quantification and attribution helps to assess the robustness of model-informed decisions and to prioritise efforts for model improvement.

Users of my research include policy-makers and regulators in the water sector, water companies, environmental modellers and consultants, (re)insurers. My approach to research tries to balance three dimensions: developing new methods to advance the state-of-art; developing open-access software tools, pilot applications and guidelines to help others in the scientific community to apply new methods efficiently and robustly; transferring ideas, methods and tools to users outside academia.

More information on my work on reservoir operation, including access to simulation and optimisation code, can be found at: resimop.info.

More information on my work on uncertainty propagation in models, including access to the open-source SAFE Toolbox for sensitivity analysis, can be found at: safetoolbox.info.

I hold a prestigious Early Career EPSRC Living with Environmental Change Fellowship, focused on "Robust and transparent planning and operation of water resource infrastructure” [EP/R007330/1].

Some short, non-technical account of my research interests and results can be found here:
- Blog post on Tackling urban landslides in an uncertain future
- Blog post on The value of seasonal forecasts for water resources management
- Presentation on Why we need better handling of uncertainty in mathematical models (with focus on the (re)insurance and water sector)
- Blog post on Hydrological modelling and pizza making
- Blog post on All models are wrong, but... 

Structured keywords and research groupings

  • Cabot Institute Water Research
  • Drought management without borders

    Doris Wendt (Advisor), Francesca Pianosi (Advisor), David M. Hannah (Advisor), John Bloomfield (Advisor), Josh Larsen (Advisor), Anne Van Loon (Advisor), Benedikt Heudorfer (Advisor) & Margaret Garcia (Advisor)

    7 Dec 2021

    Activity: Talk or presentation typesPublic talk, debate, discussion