Personal profile
Research interests
My main reseacrh interest is in estimating flood risk under climate change and understanding uncertainties and variability in impact assessments. During my PhD I estimated the uncertainty in estimating extreme flow magnitudes, analysed the sensitivity of flooding and population exposure to variability in flood magnitudes, and using high resolution CPM climate projections to investigate future high river flows.
My current project (FUTURE-FLOOD) aims to deliver new understanding and innovative methods for estimating climate change impacts on future flood risk across the UK using UKCP local climate projections. This project will work closely with the UK Met Office and provide important information for decision-makers, city planners, and flood management practitioners.
External positions
Coastal surge model project scientist, HR Wallingford Ltd
1 Apr 2023 → 30 Jun 2023
Keywords
- Flood risk
- Climate change
- Hydrological extremes
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Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
Research output
- 5 Article (Academic Journal)
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Climate Change Likely to Intensify Storm‐Driven Compound Flooding in an Exemplar UK Estuary
Lyddon, C., Devitt, L., Barada, M., Coxon, G., Tinker, J., Coulthard, T., Barkwith, A. & Robins, P., 5 Dec 2025, In: Earth's Future. 13, 12, 26 p., e2024EF005822.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
Open Access3 Citations (Scopus) -
Spatiotemporal changes in UK heavy rainfall events not captured by intensity-based methods
Devitt, L., Archer, L., Coxon, G., Neal, J., Bates, P., Bernie, D. & Kendon, E., 1 Nov 2025, In: Environmental Research Letters. 20, 11, 12 p., 114080.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
Open Access -
Future Change in Urban Flooding Using New Convection‐Permitting Climate Projections
Archer, L., Hatchard, S., Devitt, L., Neal, J. C., Coxon, G., Bates, P. D., Kendon, E. J. & Savage, J., 5 Jan 2024, In: Water Resources Research. 60, 1, 17 p., e2023WR035533.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
Open Access17 Citations (Scopus)
Datasets
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UKCP Local Bristol Flood Inundation Maps
Archer, L. (Creator), Hatchard, S. (Creator), Devitt, L. (Creator), Neal, J. (Creator), Coxon, G. (Creator), Bates, P. (Creator), Kendon, E. (Creator) & Savage, J. (Creator), University of Bristol, 16 Oct 2023
DOI: 10.5523/bris.oi5ulzw67tib2cgvb0h3umvgy, http://data.bris.ac.uk/data/dataset/oi5ulzw67tib2cgvb0h3umvgy
Dataset
Thesis
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Estimating flood risk under climate change
Devitt, L. (Author), Neal, J. (Supervisor), Coxon, G. (Supervisor) & Wagener, T. (Supervisor), 23 Jan 2024Student thesis: Doctoral Thesis › Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
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Evaluation of a hydrological modelling framework, DECIPHeR, for use in large and data scarce river basins: Upper Niger case study
Devitt, L. (Author), Neal, J. (Supervisor) & Freer, J. (Supervisor), 19 Mar 2019Student thesis: Master's Thesis › Master of Science by Research (MScR)
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