Projects per year
My research interests centre on earthquake physics, seismic hazard assessment and earthquake resilience. I combine physical and stochastic numerical modeling of earthquake processes that I confront with seismological observations. I am particularly interested in understanding the mechanisms by which earthquakes trigger other earthquakes (e.g. in damaging earthquake cascades or fluid-injection induced seismicity) and in improving models for the probabilistic forecasting of future earthquake potential, including probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA). I lead the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP), which provides cyberinfrastructure for prospective and reproducible evaluations of earthquake forecast models around the globe. Current work focuses on earthquake clustering and forecasting, fault-based seismic hazard assessment in the Himalaya and Malawi, fluid-injection induced seismicity and machine-learning based approaches to earthquake seismology.
External Fellow, London Mathematical Laboratory
11 Jun 2015 → …
Structured keywords and research groupings
- Cabot Institute Natural Hazards and Disasters Research
- seismic hazards
- probabilistic forecasting
- Natural hazards
- point processes
- machine learning
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1/09/14 → 28/02/23
1/04/21 → 31/03/22
A Spatiotemporal Clustering Model for the Third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3-ETAS): Toward an Operational Earthquake ForecastField, E. H., Milner, K. R., Hardebeck, J. L., Page, M. T., van der Elst, N., Jordan, T. H., Michael, A. J., Shaw, B. E. & Werner, M., Mar 2017, In: Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 107, 3, p. 1049-1081 33 p.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-reviewOpen AccessFile77 Citations (Scopus)443 Downloads (Pure)
A novel approach to assessing nuisance risk from seismicity induced by UK shale gas development, with implications for future policy designCremen, G. & Werner, M. J., 12 Oct 2020, In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. 20, 10, p. 2701-2719 19 p.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-reviewOpen AccessFile6 Citations (Scopus)63 Downloads (Pure)
Kettlety, T., Verdon, J. P., Werner, M. J. & Kendall, J. M., 1 Jan 2020, In: Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth. 125, 1, 21 p., e2019JB018794.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-reviewOpen AccessFile29 Citations (Scopus)69 Downloads (Pure)
Supporting data for "A ground investigation to inform earthquake hazard assessment in the Kathmandu Valley, Nepal"