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Personal profile

Research interests

My research interests centre on earthquake physics, seismic hazard assessment and earthquake resilience. I combine physical and stochastic numerical modeling of earthquake processes that I confront with seismological observations. I am particularly interested in understanding the mechanisms by which earthquakes trigger other earthquakes (e.g. in damaging earthquake cascades or fluid-injection induced seismicity) and in improving models for the probabilistic forecasting of future earthquake potential, including probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA). I lead the global Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP), which provides cyberinfrastructure for prospective and reproducible evaluations of earthquake forecast models around the globe. Current work focuses on earthquake clustering and forecasting, fault-based seismic hazard assessment in the Himalaya and Malawi, fluid-injection induced seismicity and machine-learning based approaches to earthquake seismology. 

External positions

External Fellow, London Mathematical Laboratory, 14 Buckingham Street, London

11 Jun 2015 → …

Structured keywords and research groupings

  • Cabot Institute Natural Hazards and Disasters Research

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Research Output

Probabilistic Seismic‐Hazard Assessment for Eritrea

Goitom, B., Werner, M., Goda, K., Kendall, J. M., Hammond, J., Ogubazghi, G., Oppenheimer, C., Helmstetter, A., Keir, D. & Illsley-Kemp, F., 21 Jun 2017, In : Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. 107, 3, p. 1478-1494 17 p.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

Open Access
  • 5 Citations (Scopus)
    350 Downloads (Pure)

    Natural earthquakes as proxies for induced seismic hazard and risk: comparing peak and cyclic inelastic response

    De Luca, F., Kythreotis, S., Werner, M. & Verdon, J., 13 Jan 2017, World Conferences on Earthquake Engineering: online proceedings. 12 p. 1837

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference Contribution (Conference Proceeding)

    Open Access
  • 139 Downloads (Pure)

    Estimating ETAS: the effects of truncation, missing data, and model assumptions

    Seif, S., Mignan, A., Zechar, J., Werner, M. & Wiemer, S., Jan 2017, In : Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth. 122, 1, p. 449-469 21 p.

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

    Open Access
  • 27 Citations (Scopus)
    556 Downloads (Pure)