Personal profile
Research interests
Paul is a hydrologist by background, a Fellow of the Royal Society and of the American Geophysical Union, a Royal Society Wolfson Research Merit Award holder and in 2019 was awarded a CBE for services to flood risk management. In 2024 he was awarded the John Dalton medal by the European Geosciences Union. He is also Chairman of the flood risk analytics company Fathom (www.fathom.global). For further details see his Wikipedia entry.
He has widespread research interests in risk, resilience, uncertainty, governance and decision-making in relation to natural hazards and global water issues. He is a double recipient of the Lloyd's of London Science of Risk prize and in 2015 he was awarded a 50th Anniversary Prize for Economic Impact by the UK's Natural Environment Research Council. He has published over 230 papers in international peer-reviewed journals, and these were cited over 2000 times in 2020 according to the ISI Web of Knowledge. He currently has a H-index of 115 on Google Scholar. For a full publication list see here.
Paul's main science contribution has been to improve the prediction of flood inundation through the development of new computer models, the use of data from new airborne, satellite and ground sensors and through the better characterization of risk and uncertainty. For videos of Paul talking about his research see here and here.
He has held Visiting Scientist positions at Princeton University, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Laboratoire National d'Hydraulique, Paris, the EU Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy and NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory.
He also undertakes significant International collaboration, including work with the French National Space Agency (CNES), Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia in Brazil, as well as numerous universities in the US, Europe and Africa.
External positions
Chairman, Fathom
30 Nov 0001 → …
Research Groups and Themes
- Cabot Institute Water Research
- Cabot Institute Natural Hazards and Disasters Research
- Cabot Institute Environmental Change Research
Keywords
- Floods
- Flood risk
- Uncerrtainty
- Natural hazards
Fingerprint
- 1 Similar Profiles
Collaborations and top research areas from the last five years
Research output
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A simple inertial formulation of the shallow water equations for efficient two dimensional flood inundation modelling
Bates, P., Horritt, M. & Fewtrell, T., 2010, In: Journal of Hydrology. 387, 1-2, p. 33 - 45Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
959 Citations (Scopus) -
A subgrid channel model for simulating river hydraulics and floodplain inundation over large and data sparse areas
Neal, J., Schumann, G. & Bates, P., 7 Nov 2012, In: Water Resources Research. 48, 11, 16 p., W11506.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
408 Citations (Scopus) -
Amazon flood wave hydraulics
Trigg, M., Wilson, M., Bates, P., Horritt, M., Alsdorf, D., Forsberg, B. & Vega, M., 2009, In: Journal of Hydrology. 374, p. 92 - 105Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review
151 Citations (Scopus)
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Developing enhanced impact models for integration with next generation NWP and climate outputs
Bates, P. D. (Principal Investigator)
1/09/10 → 1/09/14
Project: Research
Datasets
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LISFLOOD-FP 8.1: New GPU accelerated solvers for faster fluvial/pluvial flood simulations - simulation results
Sharifian, M. K. (Creator), Kesserwani, G. (Creator), Chowdhury, A. A. (Creator), Neal, J. (Creator) & Bates, P. (Creator), Zenodo, 26 Jul 2022
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.6907286, https://zenodo.org/record/6907286
Dataset
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Bare-earth ArcticDEM
Bates, P. (Creator), Liu, Y. (Creator) & Neal, J. (Contributor), University of Bristol, 11 Feb 2022
DOI: 10.5523/bris.3c1l2q7u1x14a262m6z7hh0c4r, http://data.bris.ac.uk/data/dataset/3c1l2q7u1x14a262m6z7hh0c4r
Dataset
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Gridded estimates of hourly areal rainfall for Great Britain 1990-2016 [CEH-GEAR1hr] v2
Lewis, E. (Creator), Quinn, N. (Creator), Blenkinsop, S. (Creator), Fowler, H. J. (Creator), Freer, J. (Creator), Tanguy, M. (Creator), Hitt, O. (Creator), Coxon, G. (Creator), Bates, P. (Creator), Woods, R. (Creator), Fry, M. (Creator), Chevuturi, A. (Creator), Swain, O. (Creator), White, S. M. (Creator) & Tanguy, M. (Contributor), NERC EDS Environmental Information Data Centre, 2022
DOI: 10.5285/fc9423d6-3d54-467f-bb2b-fc7357a3941f, https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/fc9423d6-3d54-467f-bb2b-fc7357a3941f
Dataset
Prizes
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Environmental Research Letters Highlights 2024
Archer, L. (Recipient), Neal, J. (Recipient), Bates, P. D. (Recipient), Hawker, L. P. (Recipient), Lord, N. S. (Recipient), Collings, T. (Recipient), Quinn, N. D. (Recipient) & Sear, D. (Recipient), 30 Sept 2025
Prize: Other distinction
File -
LLoyd's of London Science of Risk Prize for Climate Change
Bates, P. D. (Recipient), 2012
Prize: Prizes, Medals, Awards and Grants
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Lloyd's of London Science of Risk Prize for Natural Hazards
Bates, P. D. (Recipient), 29 Nov 2012
Prize: Prizes, Medals, Awards and Grants
Activities
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Evaluating linear trends with respect to past decadal variability can help us assess the severity of GRACE observed water storage change
Bamber, J. L. (Contributor), Vishwakarma, B. D. (Speaker), Bates, P. D. (Contributor), Sneeuw, N. (Contributor) & Westaway, R. M. (Contributor)
30 Apr 2021Activity: Talk or presentation types › Public talk, debate, discussion
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How to interpret severity of linear trends from GRACE time series
Vishwakarma, B. D. (Speaker), Bates, P. D. (Contributor), Sneeuw, N. (Contributor), Westaway, R. M. (Contributor) & Bamber, J. L. (Contributor)
29 Mar 2021Activity: Talk or presentation types › Public talk, debate, discussion
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Is the GIA signal in GRACE being treated correctly?
Vishwakarma, B. D. (Contributor), Bates, P. D. (Contributor), Sneeuw, N. (Contributor), Westaway, R. M. (Contributor) & Bamber, J. L. (Speaker)
7 Dec 2020Activity: Talk or presentation types › Public talk, debate, discussion