Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization

K. Goda; T. Wagener; W. P. Aspinall

doi:10.1061/9780784413609.112

Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization

K. Goda, T. Wagener, W. P. Aspinall

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference Contribution (Conference Proceeding)

Abstract

Natural hazard analysis involves various kinds of assumptions and approximations. Observations and data used in calibration processes are subject to errors. Consequently, probabilistic hazard assessments are uncertain. The methodologies for natural hazard analyses have evolved rapidly by improving the quantification and visualization of uncertainties associated with probabilistic hazard estimates. However, approaches across different natural hazards are not uniform. Aiming at developing a cross-hazard framework for natural disaster assessment, the current methods for seismic and tsunami hazard analyses are reviewed. In light of current needs for a dynamic and integrated framework for cascading hazards, a multi-hazard approach for earthquake and tsunami is presented.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk
Subtitle of host publication	Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
Publisher	ASCE
Pages	1105-1115
Number of pages	11
ISBN (Electronic)	9780784413609
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.112
Publication status	Published - 1 Jan 2014
Event	2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 - Liverpool, United Kingdom Duration: 13 Jul 2014 → 16 Jul 2014

Conference

Conference	2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014
Country/Territory	United Kingdom
City	Liverpool
Period	13/07/14 → 16/07/14

Research Groups and Themes

Water and Environmental Engineering

Access to Document

10.1061/9780784413609.112

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Goda, K., Wagener, T., & Aspinall, W. P. (2014). Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization. In Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014 (pp. 1105-1115). ASCE. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.112

Goda, K. ; Wagener, T. ; Aspinall, W. P. / Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis : Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization. Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. ASCE, 2014. pp. 1105-1115

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abstract = "Natural hazard analysis involves various kinds of assumptions and approximations. Observations and data used in calibration processes are subject to errors. Consequently, probabilistic hazard assessments are uncertain. The methodologies for natural hazard analyses have evolved rapidly by improving the quantification and visualization of uncertainties associated with probabilistic hazard estimates. However, approaches across different natural hazards are not uniform. Aiming at developing a cross-hazard framework for natural disaster assessment, the current methods for seismic and tsunami hazard analyses are reviewed. In light of current needs for a dynamic and integrated framework for cascading hazards, a multi-hazard approach for earthquake and tsunami is presented.",

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Goda, K, Wagener, T & Aspinall, WP 2014, Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization. in Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. ASCE, pp. 1105-1115, 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 13/07/14. https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784413609.112

Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization. / Goda, K.; Wagener, T.; Aspinall, W. P.
Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. ASCE, 2014. p. 1105-1115.

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference Contribution (Conference Proceeding)

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AU - Aspinall, W. P.

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N2 - Natural hazard analysis involves various kinds of assumptions and approximations. Observations and data used in calibration processes are subject to errors. Consequently, probabilistic hazard assessments are uncertain. The methodologies for natural hazard analyses have evolved rapidly by improving the quantification and visualization of uncertainties associated with probabilistic hazard estimates. However, approaches across different natural hazards are not uniform. Aiming at developing a cross-hazard framework for natural disaster assessment, the current methods for seismic and tsunami hazard analyses are reviewed. In light of current needs for a dynamic and integrated framework for cascading hazards, a multi-hazard approach for earthquake and tsunami is presented.

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Goda K, Wagener T, Aspinall WP. Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization. In Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management - Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Vulnerability and Risk Analysis and Management, ICVRAM 2014 and the 6th International Symposium on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, ISUMA 2014. ASCE. 2014. p. 1105-1115 doi: 10.1061/9780784413609.112

Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization

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Anatomy of Natural Hazard Analysis: Uncertainty Propagation and Visualization

Abstract

Conference

Research Groups and Themes

Access to Document

Handle.net

Other files and links

Fingerprint

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CREDIBLE (Revision of FEC id 120483)

Cite this