Bootstrap confidence intervals for multiple change points based on moving sum procedures

Haeran Cho*, Claudia Kirch

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)
1 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

The problem of quantifying uncertainty about the locations of multiple change points bymeans of confidence intervals is addressed. The asymptotic distribution of the change pointestimators obtained as the local maximisers of moving sum statistics is derived, wherethe limit distributions differ depending on whether the corresponding size of changes islocal, i.e. tends to zero as the sample size increases, or fixed. A bootstrap procedure forconfidence interval generation is proposed which adapts to the unknown magnitude ofchanges and guarantees asymptotic validity both for local and fixed changes. Simulationstudies show good performance of the proposed bootstrap procedure, and some discussionsabout how it can be extended to serially dependent errors are provided.
Original languageEnglish
Article number107552
Number of pages22
JournalComputational Statistics & Data Analysis
Volume175
Early online date26 Jun 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2022

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