Cardiorespiratory fitness, body mass index and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Nathan R. Weeldreyer, Jeison C De Guzman, Craig Paterson, Jason D Allen, Glenn A Gaesser, Siddhartha S Angadi

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Objective
The purpose of this review was to assess the joint relationship of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and Body Mass Index (BMI) on both cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality risk.

Design
A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted. Pooled HR and 95% CI were calculated using a three-level restricted maximum likelihood estimation random-effects model with robust variance estimation. The reference group was normal weight-fit and was compared with normal weight-unfit, overweight-unfit and fit, and obese-unfit and fit.

Data sources
Electronic databases (PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science and SportDiscus) were searched following registration on PROSPERO.

Eligibility criteria
Articles meeting the following criteria were included: (1) published between January 1980 and February 2023, (2) prospective cohort study, (3) CRF assessed using a maximal or VO2peak exercise test, (4) BMI reported and directly measured, (5) joint impact of CRF and BMI on all-cause mortality or CVD mortality were analysed, and (6) the reference group was normal weight, fit individuals.

Results
20 articles were included in the analysis resulting in a total of 398 716 observations. Compared with the reference group, overweight-fit (CVD HR (95% CI): 1.50 (0.82–2.76), all-cause HR: 0.96 (0.61–1.50)) and obese-fit (CVD: 1.62 (0.87–3.01), all-cause: 1.11 (0.88–1.40)) did not have a statistically different risk of mortality. Normal weight-unfit (CVD: 2.04 (1.32–3.14), all-cause: 1.92 (1.43–2.57)), overweight-unfit (CVD: 2.58 (1.48–4.52), all-cause: 1.82 (1.47–2.24)) and obese-unfit (CVD: 3.35 (1.17–9.61), all-cause: 2.04 (1.54–2.71)) demonstrated 2–3-fold greater mortality risks.

Conclusions
CRF is a strong predictor of CVD and all-cause mortality and attenuates risks associated with overweight and obesity. These data have implications for public health and risk mitigation strategies.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)339-346
Number of pages8
JournalBritish Journal of Sports Medicine
Volume59
Issue number5
Early online date13 Nov 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 20 Feb 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025.

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