Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C

Nicole D. Miranda; Jesus Lizana; Sarah Sparrow; Miriam Zachau-Walker; Peter A G Watson; David Wallom; Radhika Khosla; Malcolm McCulloch

doi:10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z

Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C

Nicole D. Miranda, Jesus Lizana^*, Sarah Sparrow, Miriam Zachau-Walker, Peter A G Watson, David Wallom, Radhika Khosla, Malcolm McCulloch

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1326-1330
Number of pages	5
Journal	Nature Sustainability
Volume	6
Issue number	11
Early online date	13 Jul 2023
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z
Publication status	Published - 1 Nov 2023

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The research was supported by the Oxford Martin School, through its Future of Cooling Programme. J.L. was funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 101023241. S.N.S. and P.A.G.W. were supported by the UKRI (NE/P002099/1). For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any author accepted manuscript version arising from this submission. We also thank R. Renaldi for supporting the conceptualization of the research.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023, The Author(s).

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title = "Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C",

abstract = "Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.",

author = "Miranda, {Nicole D.} and Jesus Lizana and Sarah Sparrow and Miriam Zachau-Walker and Watson, {Peter A G} and David Wallom and Radhika Khosla and Malcolm McCulloch",

note = "Funding Information: The research was supported by the Oxford Martin School, through its Future of Cooling Programme. J.L. was funded by the European Union{\textquoteright}s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sk{\l}odowska-Curie grant agreement no. 101023241. S.N.S. and P.A.G.W. were supported by the UKRI (NE/P002099/1). For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any author accepted manuscript version arising from this submission. We also thank R. Renaldi for supporting the conceptualization of the research. Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023, The Author(s).",

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AU - Miranda, Nicole D.

AU - Lizana, Jesus

AU - Sparrow, Sarah

AU - Zachau-Walker, Miriam

AU - Watson, Peter A G

AU - Wallom, David

AU - Khosla, Radhika

AU - McCulloch, Malcolm

N1 - Funding Information: The research was supported by the Oxford Martin School, through its Future of Cooling Programme. J.L. was funded by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement no. 101023241. S.N.S. and P.A.G.W. were supported by the UKRI (NE/P002099/1). For the purpose of open access, the author has applied a CC BY public copyright licence to any author accepted manuscript version arising from this submission. We also thank R. Renaldi for supporting the conceptualization of the research. Publisher Copyright: © 2023, The Author(s).

PY - 2023/11/1

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N2 - Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.

AB - Limiting global mean temperature rise to 1.5 °C is increasingly out of reach. Here we show the impact on global cooling demand in moving from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C of global warming. African countries have the highest increase in cooling requirements. Switzerland, the United Kingdom and Norway (traditionally unprepared for heat) will suffer the largest relative cooling demand surges. Immediate and unprecedented adaptation interventions are required worldwide to be prepared for a hotter world.

U2 - 10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z

DO - 10.1038/s41893-023-01155-z

M3 - Article (Academic Journal)

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JO - Nature Sustainability

JF - Nature Sustainability

IS - 11

ER -

Change in cooling degree days with global mean temperature rise increasing from 1.5 °C to 2.0 °C

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