Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales

Cooper M Malanoski; Alex Farnsworth; Daniel J Lunt; Paul J Valdes; Erin E Saupe

doi:10.1126/science.adj5763

Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales

Cooper M Malanoski^*
, Alex Farnsworth
, Daniel J Lunt
, Paul J Valdes
, Erin E Saupe^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article (Academic Journal) › peer-review

65 Citations (Scopus)

295 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite its importance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climate mediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the role of intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marine invertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiological traits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinction patterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may still succumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	1130-1134
Number of pages	5
Journal	Science
Volume	383
Issue number	6687
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adj5763
Publication status	Published - 8 Mar 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
Copyright © 2024 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action
SDG 14 Life Below Water

Keywords

Animals
Aquatic Organisms
Biodiversity
Climate Change
Extinction, Biological
Invertebrates

Access to Document

10.1126/science.adj5763

Full-text PDF (accepted manuscript)
This is the accepted author manuscript (AAM) of the article which has been made Open Access under the University of Bristol's Scholarly Works Policy. The final published version (Version of Record) can be found on the publisher's website. The copyright of any third-party content, such as images, remains with the copyright holder.
Accepted author manuscript, 1.48 MBLicence: CC BY

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Persistent link

PaleoGradPhan: Paleoclimate meridional and zonal Gradients in the Phanerozoic
Lunt, D. (Principal Investigator)
1/10/22 → 30/09/25
Project: Research

HPC (High Performance Computing) and HTC (High Throughput Computing) Facilities
Alam, S. R. (Manager), Williams, D. A. G. (Manager), Eccleston, P. E. (Manager) & Greene, D. (Manager)
Facility/equipment: Facility

Cite this

@article{19ac92b741624d069802218dcb5d812a,

title = "Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales",

abstract = "Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite its importance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climate mediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the role of intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marine invertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiological traits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinction patterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may still succumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.",

keywords = "Animals, Aquatic Organisms, Biodiversity, Climate Change, Extinction, Biological, Invertebrates",

author = "Malanoski, \{Cooper M\} and Alex Farnsworth and Lunt, \{Daniel J\} and Valdes, \{Paul J\} and Saupe, \{Erin E\}",

note = "Publisher Copyright: Copyright {\textcopyright} 2024 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science.",

year = "2024",

month = mar,

day = "8",

doi = "10.1126/science.adj5763",

language = "English",

volume = "383",

pages = "1130--1134",

journal = "Science",

issn = "0036-8075",

publisher = "American Association for the Advancement of Science",

number = "6687",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales

AU - Malanoski, Cooper M

AU - Farnsworth, Alex

AU - Lunt, Daniel J

AU - Valdes, Paul J

AU - Saupe, Erin E

PY - 2024/3/8

Y1 - 2024/3/8

N2 - Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite its importance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climate mediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the role of intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marine invertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiological traits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinction patterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may still succumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.

AB - Anthropogenic climate change is increasing rapidly and already impacting biodiversity. Despite its importance in future projections, understanding of the underlying mechanisms by which climate mediates extinction remains limited. We present an integrated approach examining the role of intrinsic traits versus extrinsic climate change in mediating extinction risk for marine invertebrates over the past 485 million years. We found that a combination of physiological traits and the magnitude of climate change is necessary to explain marine invertebrate extinction patterns. Our results suggest that taxa previously identified as extinction resistant may still succumb to extinction if the magnitude of climate change is great enough.

KW - Animals

KW - Aquatic Organisms

KW - Biodiversity

KW - Climate Change

KW - Extinction, Biological

KW - Invertebrates

U2 - 10.1126/science.adj5763

DO - 10.1126/science.adj5763

M3 - Article (Academic Journal)

C2 - 38452067

SN - 0036-8075

VL - 383

SP - 1130

EP - 1134

JO - Science

JF - Science

IS - 6687

ER -

Climate change is an important predictor of extinction risk on macroevolutionary timescales

Abstract

Bibliographical note

UN SDGs

Keywords

Access to Document

Handle.net

Fingerprint

Projects

PaleoGradPhan: Paleoclimate meridional and zonal Gradients in the Phanerozoic

Equipment

HPC (High Performance Computing) and HTC (High Throughput Computing) Facilities

Cite this