Constraining flow and sediment transport intermittency in the geological past

Quantitative investigations of ancient rivers usually provide insights into either instantaneous or mean flow conditions. There is a critical gap between these time scales of investigation, which reflects the intermittency of flow and sediment transport, and closing this gap is crucial to fully explore the dynamics and evolution of ancient fluvial landscapes. Here, we combined fluvial stratigraphic data sets, flow and sediment transport models, and paleoclimate general circulation model (GCM) results to develop new methods to estimate intermittency in the geological past, specifically flow intermittency factors (Iw) and sediment transport intermittency factors (Is), and we show how they can be used to explore past hydrograph shapes. We illustrated these methods using the Upper Cretaceous Last Chance Ferron Sandstone in Utah, western United States. For sand-transporting flow conditions in Last Chance Ferron rivers, we estimated Iw values of 0.54–0.90, which imply that channel-forming conditions were sustained for the majority of the year, consistent with perennial systems in which relatively large discharges were sustained. In contrast, for gravel-transporting flow conditions, Iw values of 0.28–0.38 suggest that the largest formative flows may have occupied Last Chance Ferron rivers for nearly a third of the year, which could be explained by a monsoonal system in which high-magnitude discharge events were sustained, or a subtropical system in which high-magnitude discharge events had short durations but high frequencies. Meanwhile, Is values of 0.075–0.15 suggest that annual sediment budgets could have been transported in as little as 10 days and up to 2 months, if channel-forming conditions were sustained, and these values highlight that small changes in the duration of channel-forming conditions could significantly impact sediment budgets. Our results are consistent with independent facies-and proxy-based insights into Last Chance Ferron rivers, which point to a perennially wet system characterized by a monsoonal or subtropical discharge regime. Further, our results highlight new opportunities to use paleoclimate GCMs to constrain intermittency factors in the geological past. Going forward, paleoclimate GCMs will be particularly useful where the rock record is incomplete or inaccessible, or where stratigraphic approaches are limited, and they will enable us to tackle pertinent research questions pertaining to past surface processes on both Earth and other planets.