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Correlations between creep parameters and application to probabilistic damage assessments

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)295-305
Number of pages11
JournalInternational Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping
Early online date7 Jul 2018
DateAccepted/In press - 30 Jun 2018
DateE-pub ahead of print - 7 Jul 2018
DatePublished (current) - 1 Aug 2018


This work formalises an approach for identifying and implementing correlations in probabilistic creep crack initiation assessments. The methodology is based on partitioning data obtained from uniaxial creep test results into subsets according to temperature and stress. This work is focused on 316H stainless steel and is concerned with identifying correlations between creep deformation, creep ductility and rupture life. However, the methodology can be implemented to identify correlations for any material and any combination of properties. An implementation method is also presented for sampling correlated parameters in Monte-Carlo simulations using the Spearman rank order correlation. This is followed by a discussion of the key effects that incorporating correlations might have on probabilistic creep damage results. While a degree of correlation between ductility and creep deformation exists, it was found to be uncertain. Conducting post-assessment sensitivity analyses based on uncorrelated parameters is suggested as a means for providing focus as to which correlations are most important for the assessment results.

    Research areas

  • Correlations, Creep, Damage, Monte-Carlo, Probabilistic, Sensitivity analysis

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    Rights statement: This is the author accepted manuscript (AAM). The final published version (version of record) is available online via Elsevier at . Please refer to any applicable terms of use of the publisher.

    Accepted author manuscript, 3.38 MB, PDF document

    Licence: CC BY-NC-ND


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