Damage prognosis: the future of structural health monitoring

CR Farrar, NAJ Lieven

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

309 Citations (Scopus)


This paper concludes the theme issue on structural health monitoring (SHM) by discussing the concept of damage prognosis (DP). DP attempts to forecast system performance by assessing the current damage state of the system (i.e. SHM), estimating the future loading environments for that system, and predicting through simulation and past experience the remaining useful life of the system. The successful development of a DP capability will require the further development and integration of many technology areas including both measurement/processing/telemetry hardware and a variety of deterministic and probabilistic predictive modelling capabilities, as well as the ability to quantify the uncertainty in these predictions. The multidisciplinary and challenging nature of the DP problem, its current embryonic state of development, and its tremendous potential for life-safety and economic benefits qualify DP as a 'grand challenge' problem for engineers in the twenty-first century.
Translated title of the contributionDamage prognosis: the future of structural health monitoring
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)623 - 632
Number of pages10
JournalPhilosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
Volume365 (1851)
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2007

Bibliographical note

Publisher: The Royal Society

Fingerprint Dive into the research topics of 'Damage prognosis: the future of structural health monitoring'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this