Decision Analysis for Management of Natural Hazards

Michael Simpson, Rachel James, Jim W. Hall, Edoardo Borgomeo, Matthew C. Ives, Susana Almeida, Ashley Kingsborough, Theo Economou, David Stephenson, Thorsten Wagener

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

23 Citations (Scopus)
427 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Losses from natural hazards, including geophysical and hydro-climatic hazards, have been increasing worldwide. The focus of this review article is the process by which scientific evidence about natural hazards is applied to support decision making. Decision analysis typically involves estimating the probability of extreme events, assessing the potential impacts of those events from a variety of perspectives, and evaluating options to plan for, mitigate or react to events. We consider issues which affect decisions made across natural hazards, summarise the range of decision methodologies available for use and provide a summary of existing applications. We conclude that there is potential for further exchange of ideas and experience between natural hazard research communities on decision analysis approaches. Broader application of decision methodologies to natural hazard management and evaluation of existing decision approaches has the potential to reduce the impact of natural hazards.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)489-516
Number of pages28
JournalAnnual Review of Environment and Resources
Volume41
Issue number15
Early online date24 Aug 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Nov 2016

Keywords

  • Decision Analysis
  • Natural Hazards
  • Risk Analysis
  • Deep Uncertainty

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