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Did purchasing power parity hold in medieval Europe?

Adrian R. Bell, Chris Brooks, Tony K. Moore

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

    1 Citation (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This paper employs a unique, hand-collected dataset of exchange rates for five major currencies (the lira of Barcelona, the pound sterling of England, the pond groot of Flanders, the florin of Florence and the livre tournois of France) to consider whether the law of one price and purchasing power parity held in Europe during the late fourteenth and early fifteenth centuries. Using single series and panel unit root and stationarity tests and cointegration analysis on ten real exchange rates between 1383 and 1411, we show that the parity relationship held for the pound sterling and some of the Florentine florin series individually and for almost all of the groups that we investigate. Our findings add to the weight of evidence that trading and arbitrage activities stopped real exchange rates deviating permanently from fair values. This research extends the results reported in other studies back more than 600 years.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)682-709
    Number of pages28
    JournalThe Manchester School
    Volume85
    Issue number6
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2017

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