TY - JOUR
T1 - Do climate variations explain bilateral migration? A gravity model analysis
AU - Backhaus, Andreas
AU - Martinez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada
AU - Muris, Chris
PY - 2015/12/1
Y1 - 2015/12/1
N2 - Abstract: This paper investigates to what extent international migration can be explained by climatic variations. A gravity model of migration augmented with average temperature and precipitation in the country of origin is estimated using a panel data set of 142 sending countries for the period 1995 to 2006. We find two primary results. First, temperature is positively correlated with migration. Second, stronger changes in precipitation are also associated with aligned, but small changes in migration. Both effects are robust to various model modifications. Furthermore, we present initial explorations into the channels relating climate changes with migration via agriculture and internal conflict. JEL Codes: F22, Q54
AB - Abstract: This paper investigates to what extent international migration can be explained by climatic variations. A gravity model of migration augmented with average temperature and precipitation in the country of origin is estimated using a panel data set of 142 sending countries for the period 1995 to 2006. We find two primary results. First, temperature is positively correlated with migration. Second, stronger changes in precipitation are also associated with aligned, but small changes in migration. Both effects are robust to various model modifications. Furthermore, we present initial explorations into the channels relating climate changes with migration via agriculture and internal conflict. JEL Codes: F22, Q54
KW - Climate change
KW - Gravity model
KW - International migration
KW - Panel data
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84983444150&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1186/s40176-014-0026-3
DO - 10.1186/s40176-014-0026-3
M3 - Article (Academic Journal)
AN - SCOPUS:84983444150
SN - 2193-9039
VL - 4
JO - IZA Journal of Migration
JF - IZA Journal of Migration
IS - 1
M1 - 3
ER -
