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Factors associated with adult incarceration among people with opioid use disorder in New South Wales, Australia

Christel MacDonald*, Chrianna Bharat, Louisa Degenhardt, Matt Hickman, Jack Stone, Rachel Sutherland, Mary Harrod, Jason Grebely, Thomas Santo Jr

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

Background and purpose
People with opioid use disorder (OUD) are at elevated risk of incarceration. Understanding factors linked to this risk may support more targeted prevention and intervention efforts. This study used cross-sectional survey data to examine associations with time to first incarceration and repeated incarceration among individuals with OUD. Additionally, we wanted to examine the characteristics of people with opioid dependence who had been incarcerated.  

Methods
Data were drawn from 297 adults with OUD in NSW, Australia (2023-2024). Participants completed structured interviews covering socio-demographics, substance use, adverse childhood experiences and criminal justice contact. A discrete-time event analysis examined correlates of first adult incarceration from age 18.

Results
Overall, 58% of participants reported having been incarcerated. In adjusted models, injecting drug use increased risk of first-time incarceration in any given year (aOR: 3.55, 1.08 – 11.66), as did childhood exposure to household substance use (aOR: 1.80, 1.15–2.82), and being male (aOR: 1.83, 1.24 – 2.69). Greater secondary education reduced incarceration odds (aOR: 0.56, 0.37–0.86). In any given year, younger adults (18–24 years) were at highest risk of incarceration, whereas those aged 35 or older had notably lower odds (aOR: 0.16, 0.09 – 0.29).

Conclusions
Injecting drug use, limited education, and childhood exposure to household substance use were associated with higher incarceration risk. There is a need to consider broader social and developmental factors in supporting individuals with OUD. While systemic change is complex, this study adds to the evidence base that can inform more integrated approaches to reducing incarceration risk.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere70153
Number of pages10
JournalDrug and Alcohol Review
Volume45
Issue number4
Early online date14 Apr 2026
Publication statusPublished - 1 May 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 16 - Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions
    SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

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