Genetic susceptibility to depression and risk of cardiometabolic diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 21 Mendelian randomisation studies

Tabinda Jabeen*, Emma Todd, Sarah Gauci, Robyn E Wootton, Wolfgang Marx, Deborah N Ashtree, Deb J Zhang, Emma West, Najmeh Davoodian, Eslam M Bastawy, Alex Monson, Samantha L Dawson, Claire L Young, Amelia J McGuinness, Elizabeth Gamage, Melissa M Lane, Jasmine R Cleminson, Adrienne O'Neil

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

Background:
Depression is a risk factor for cardiometabolic diseases, but the extent to which this is attributable to genetic (rather than environmental) factors is unclear. Mendelian randomisation (MR) uses genetic variants to infer causality. We aimed to investigate the bidirectional association between respective genetic susceptibility to depression and cardiometabolic diseases.

Methods:
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of MR studies (unidirectional or bidirectional) in adults that assessed associations between genetic variants related to depression and any cardiometabolic disease. A comprehensive literature search of MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library was performed to capture relevant articles published between database inception to June 20, 2024. This search was updated on April 23, 2025. Reference lists of included articles were manually searched for additional records. Articles published in English or translated into English were included. Primary outcomes of interest included cardiovascular diseases (six) and metabolic diseases (three). Contextually similar studies were pooled and sub-grouped based on population ancestry, study design, and outcome definition. A customised risk of bias tools for Mendelian randomisation was used to assess the risk of bias across five domains. Heterogeneity was assessed via I2 and tau-squared (τ2) statistics and publication bias was assessed via visual inspection of contour-enhanced funnel plots. This work is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023460334.

Findings:
We included 79 studies (294 MR analyses) in the systematic review and 21 studies (29 MR analyses) in the meta-analysis. For the primary outcomes eligible for pooling, genetic susceptibility to depression was associated with increased odds of coronary artery disease (odds ratio 1.12, 95% CI 1.05–1.19; k = 3, τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0%), myocardial infarction (1.13, 1.10–1.17; k = 3, τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0%), and elevated triglycerides (1.10, 1.06–1.14; k = 3, τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 0); but not with diabetes (1.08, 0.96–1.21; k = 3, τ2 = 0.01, I2 = 75%), high-density lipoproteins (0.97, 0.92–1.01; k = 3, τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 37%), or low-density lipoproteins (1.12, 0.99–1.28; k = 4, τ2 = 0.00, I2 = 87%). Leave-one-out analyses showed that some studies altered the results more than the others.

Interpretation:
Our findings suggest that depression and cardiometabolic diseases are associated with each other. Though the observed effects are small and of limited immediate clinical relevance, our findings reflect the genetic component of the association separately to the behavioural and environmental influences. Treatment strategies identifying those at risk could benefit both diseases; however, high heterogeneity warrants cautious interpretation of our findings.

Funding:
None.
Original languageEnglish
Article number103587
Number of pages23
JournaleClinicalMedicine
Volume89
Early online date29 Oct 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Nov 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s).

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