Halting predicted vertebrate declines requires tackling multiple drivers of biodiversity loss

Pol Capdevila Lanzaco*, Duncan A O'Brien*, Valentina Marconi, Thomas F Johnson, Robin Freeman, Louise McRae, Chris F Clements

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

Conservation policies aiming to halt biodiversity loss often focus on globally prevalent threats like habitat loss and exploitation, yet direct and interactive effects of multiple threats remain poorly quantified. Here, we go beyond prior meta-analyses or species-level studies by providing a global, population-level empirical analysis of threat interactions by examining 3129 vertebrate population time series worldwide with documented exposure to single and multiple threats. Populations affected solely by habitat loss or exploitation do not exhibit the steepest declines; instead, disease, invasive species, pollution, and climate change are associated with faster declines. Interactive threats contribute more to population declines than temporal or spatial variation. Counterfactual analyses reveal that mitigating multiple threats is essential to achieving nonnegative vertebrate population trends and halting biodiversity loss.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbereadx7973
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
JournalScience Advances
Volume12
Issue number7
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 11 Feb 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2026 The Authors, some rights reserved

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

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