Large epidemic thresholds emerge in heterogeneous networks of heterogeneous nodes

Hui Yang*, Ming Tang, Thilo Gross

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

39 Citations (Scopus)
324 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

One of the famous results of network science states that networks with heterogeneous connectivity are more susceptible to epidemic spreading than their more homogeneous counterparts. In particular, in networks of identical nodes it has been shown that network heterogeneity, i.e. a broad degree distribution, can lower the epidemic threshold at which epidemics can invade the system. Network heterogeneity can thus allow diseases with lower transmission probabilities to persist and spread. However, it has been pointed out that networks in which the properties of nodes are intrinsically heterogeneous can be very resilient to disease spreading. Heterogeneity in structure can enhance or diminish the resilience of networks with heterogeneous nodes, depending on the correlations between the topological and intrinsic properties. Here, we consider a plausible scenario where people have intrinsic differences in susceptibility and adapt their social network structure to the presence of the disease. We show that the resilience of networks with heterogeneous connectivity can surpass those of networks with homogeneous connectivity. For epidemiology, this implies that network heterogeneity should not be studied in isolation, it is instead the heterogeneity of infection risk that determines the likelihood of outbreaks.

Original languageEnglish
Article number13122
JournalScientific Reports
Volume5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 21 Aug 2015

Bibliographical note

Date of Acceptance: 17/06/2015

Research Groups and Themes

  • Engineering Mathematics Research Group

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  • Dynamic supply chains

    Champneys, A. R. (Principal Investigator)

    1/09/131/03/17

    Project: Research

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