Long-Term Cost-Effectiveness of Case Finding and Mass Screening for Celiac Disease in Children

Jan Heijdra Suasnabar*, Caroline Meijer, Lucy Smit, Floris Overveld, Howard H Z Thom, Edna Keeney, M Luisa Mearin, M Elsek Marle

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

Background & Aims
Celiac disease (CD) is a common yet underdiagnosed autoimmune disease with substantial long-term consequences. High-accuracy point-of-care tests for CD antibodies conducted at youth primary health care centers may enable earlier identification of CD, but evidence about the cost-effectiveness of such strategies is lacking. We estimated the long-term cost-effectiveness of active case finding and mass screening compared with clinical detection in the Netherlands.

Methods
A decision tree and Markov model were used to simulate a cohort of 3-year-old children with CD according to each strategy, taking into account their impact on long-term costs (from a societal perspective) and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Model parameters incorporated data from the GLUTENSCREEN project, the Dutch Celiac Society, the Dutch Pediatric Surveillance Unit, and published sources. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) between strategies.

Results
Mass screening produced 7.46 more QALYs and was €28,635 more costly compared with current care (ICER: €3841 per QALY), and case finding produced 4.33 more QALYs and was €15,585 more costly compared with current care (ICER: €3603 per QALY). At a willingness to pay of €20,000 per QALY, both strategies were highly cost-effective compared with current care. Scenario analyses indicated that mass screening is likely the optimal strategy, unless no benefit in detecting asymptomatic cases is assumed.

Conclusions
An earlier identification of CD through screening or case finding in children using a point-of-care tests leads to improved health outcomes and is cost-effective in the long-term compared with current care. If the feasibility and acceptability of the proposed strategies are successful, implementation in Dutch regular care is needed.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages12
JournalGastroenterology
Early online date29 Jul 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 29 Jul 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 The Authors

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