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Market reaction to the expected loss model in banks

  • Enrico Onali*
  • , Gianluca Ginesti
  • , Giovanni Cardillo
  • , Giuseppe Torluccio
  • *Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

    10 Citations (Scopus)
    24 Downloads (Pure)

    Abstract

    We investigate how investors perceive the adoption of the expected-loss model (ELM) for impairment incorporated in IFRS 9. Using a sample of European listed banks covering the period of the standard-setting process of IFRS 9, we examine whether the market perceives the new regulation to increase shareholder wealth. First, we document a positive market reaction to the ELM adoption events. Second, we find that investors perceive that the potential benefits of ELM are more pronounced for larger banks, banks with lower profitability and higher systemic risk, and for those that received a public bailout and with more positively skewed returns. Overall, these results support a “monitoring” channel suggesting that ELM may lead to greater bank transparency and more effective market discipline, fundamental for improving financial stability.

    Original languageEnglish
    Article number100884
    JournalJournal of Financial Stability
    Volume74
    Early online date11 May 2024
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2024

    Bibliographical note

    Publisher Copyright:
    © 2021 Elsevier B.V.

    Research Groups and Themes

    • AF Financial Markets
    • AF Banking

    Keywords

    • Expected loss model
    • IFRS 9
    • Impairment
    • Loan loss provisions
    • Stock market reaction

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