Methods to induce labour: A systematic review, network meta-analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis

Zarko Alfirevic, Edna Keeney, Therese Dowswell, Nicky Welton, Nancy Medley, Sofia Dias, Leanne V Jones, Deborah Caldwell

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

69 Citations (Scopus)
506 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Objectives

To compare the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of labour induction methods.

Methods

We conducted a systematic review of randomised trials comparing interventions for third-trimester labour induction (search date: March 2014). Network meta-analysis was possible for six of nine prespecified key outcomes: vaginal delivery within 24 hours (VD24), caesarean section, uterine hyperstimulation, neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) admissions, instrumental delivery and infant Apgar scores. We developed a decision-tree model from a UK NHS perspective and calculated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios, expected costs, utilities and net benefit, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves.

Main results

In all, 611 studies comparing 31 active interventions were included. Intravenous oxytocin with amniotomy and vaginal misoprostol (≥50 μg) were most likely to achieve VD24. Titrated low-dose oral misoprostol achieved the lowest odds of caesarean section, but there was considerable uncertainty in ranking estimates. Vaginal (≥50 μg) and buccal/sublingual misoprostol were most likely to increase uterine hyperstimulation with high uncertainty in ranking estimates. Compared with placebo, extra-amniotic prostaglandin E2 reduced NICU admissions. There were insufficient data to conduct analyses for maternal and neonatal mortality and serious morbidity or maternal satisfaction. Conclusions were robust after exclusion of studies at high risk of bias. Due to poor reporting of VD24, the cost-effectiveness analysis compared a subset of 20 interventions. There was considerable uncertainty in estimates, but buccal/sublingual and titrated (low-dose) misoprostol showed the highest probability of being most cost-effective.

Conclusions

Future trials should be designed and powered to detect a method that is more cost-effective than low-dose titrated oral misoprostol.

Tweetable abstract

New study ranks methods to induce labour in pregnant women on effectiveness and cost.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1462-1470
Number of pages9
JournalBJOG: An International Journal of Obstetrics and Gynaecology
Volume123
Issue number9
Early online date22 Mar 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2016

Keywords

  • Comparative effectiveness research
  • cost-effectiveness analysis
  • labour induction
  • network meta-analysis
  • systematic review

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  • NIRG: Bayesian evidence synthesis of multiple outcomes

    Welton, N. J. (Principal Investigator)

    1/01/1530/09/18

    Project: Research

  • ConDuCT-II

    Blazeby, J. (Principal Investigator)

    1/04/1431/03/19

    Project: Research

  • Research Fellowship

    Caldwell, D. M. (Principal Investigator)

    1/01/111/12/15

    Project: Research

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