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More rain, less soil: long-term changes in rainfall intensity with climate change

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)563-566
Number of pages4
JournalEarth Surface Processes and Landforms
Early online date21 Dec 2015
DateAccepted/In press - 16 Nov 2015
DateE-pub ahead of print - 21 Dec 2015
DatePublished (current) - 30 Mar 2016


This commentary discusses the role of long-term climate change in driving increases in soil erosion. Assuming that land use and management remain effectively constant, we discuss changes in the ability of rainfall to cause erosion (erosivity), using long daily rainfall data sets from south east England. An upward trend in mean rainfall per rain day is detected at the century-plus time scale. Implications for soil erosion and sediment delivery are discussed and evidence from other regions reviewed. We conclude that rates of soil erosion may well increase in a warmer, wetter world.

    Research areas

  • soil erosion, erosivity, climate change

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    Rights statement: This is the accepted author manuscript (AAM). The final published version (version of record) is available online via Wiley at DOI: 10.1002/esp.3868. Please refer to any applicable terms of use of the publisher.

    Accepted author manuscript, 125 KB, PDF document


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