Moving Sum Procedure for Multiple Change Point Detection in Large Factor Models

Matteo Barigozzi, Haeran Cho*, Lorenzo Trapani

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

This paper proposes a moving sum methodology for detecting multiple change points in high-dimensional time series under a factor model, where changes are attributed to those in loadings as well as emergence or disappearance of factors. We establish the asymptotic null distribution of the proposed test for family-wise error control and show the consistency of the procedure for multiple change point estimation. Simulation studies and an application to a large dataset of volatilities demonstrate the competitive performance of the proposed method.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of Time Series Analysis
Early online date27 Oct 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 27 Oct 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Journal of Time Series Analysis published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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