Phenogrouping heart failure with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction using electronic health record data

Fardad Soltani, David A Jenkins, Amit Kaura, Joshua Bradley, Nicholas Black, John P Farrant, Simon G Williams, Abdulrahim Mulla, Benjamin Glampson, Jim Davies, Dimitri Papadimitriou, Kerrie Woods, Anoop D Shah, Mark R Thursz, Bryan Williams, Folkert W Asselbergs, Erik K Mayer, Christopher Herbert, Stuart Grant, Nick CurzenIain Squire, Thomas Johnson, Kevin O'Gallagher, Ajay M Shah, Divaka Perera, Rajesh Kharbanda, Riyaz S Patel, Keith M Channon, Richard Lee, Niels Peek, Jamil Mayet, Christopher A Miller*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) with preserved or mildly reduced ejection fraction includes a heterogenous group of patients. Reclassification into distinct phenogroups to enable targeted interventions is a priority. This study aimed to identify distinct phenogroups, and compare phenogroup characteristics and outcomes, from electronic health record data.

METHODS: 2,187 patients admitted to five UK hospitals with a diagnosis of HF and a left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 40% were identified from the NIHR Health Informatics Collaborative database. Partition-based, model-based, and density-based machine learning clustering techniques were applied. Cox Proportional Hazards and Fine-Gray competing risks models were used to compare outcomes (all-cause mortality and hospitalisation for HF) across phenogroups.

RESULTS: Three phenogroups were identified: (1) Younger, predominantly female patients with high prevalence of cardiometabolic and coronary disease; (2) More frail patients, with higher rates of lung disease and atrial fibrillation; (3) Patients characterised by systemic inflammation and high rates of diabetes and renal dysfunction. Survival profiles were distinct, with an increasing risk of all-cause mortality from phenogroups 1 to 3 (p < 0.001). Phenogroup membership significantly improved survival prediction compared to conventional factors. Phenogroups were not predictive of hospitalisation for HF.

CONCLUSIONS: Applying unsupervised machine learning to routinely collected electronic health record data identified phenogroups with distinct clinical characteristics and unique survival profiles.

Original languageEnglish
Article number343
JournalBMC Cardiovascular Disorders
Volume24
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 5 Jul 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.

Keywords

  • Humans
  • Heart Failure/physiopathology
  • Electronic Health Records
  • Female
  • Male
  • Aged
  • Stroke Volume
  • Middle Aged
  • Risk Assessment
  • Ventricular Function, Left
  • United Kingdom/epidemiology
  • Risk Factors
  • Prognosis
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Databases, Factual
  • Unsupervised Machine Learning
  • Hospitalization
  • Time Factors
  • Comorbidity
  • Cause of Death
  • Phenotype
  • Data Mining

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