TY - GEN
T1 - Recent Innovations in Flood Hazard Modelling Over Large Data Sparse Regions
AU - Neal, Jeffrey
PY - 2022/1/31
Y1 - 2022/1/31
N2 - This opinion piece summarises recent progress in the development of global flood models (GFMs) in support of flood impact modelling and identifies potential areas for model improvement over the next 5--10 years. In many parts of the world, flood hazard data are absent or lack the accuracy and precision required for most practical applications, including climate change impact assessment. With the hydrological cycle expected to intensify due to climate change, better modelling of flood hazard is needed as a prerequisite to understanding how flood risk might change in the future with climate. The past decade has seen substantial advances in the modelling of flood inundation in data scarce areas along with the emergence of global flood models that could form the foundation of global impact assessments. In summarising these advances, four key themes emerge linked to topography, extreme flow estimation, river network parameterisation and numerical modelling of inundation. Progress in each of these themes will be needed to deliver the next generation of global flood hazard data.
AB - This opinion piece summarises recent progress in the development of global flood models (GFMs) in support of flood impact modelling and identifies potential areas for model improvement over the next 5--10 years. In many parts of the world, flood hazard data are absent or lack the accuracy and precision required for most practical applications, including climate change impact assessment. With the hydrological cycle expected to intensify due to climate change, better modelling of flood hazard is needed as a prerequisite to understanding how flood risk might change in the future with climate. The past decade has seen substantial advances in the modelling of flood inundation in data scarce areas along with the emergence of global flood models that could form the foundation of global impact assessments. In summarising these advances, four key themes emerge linked to topography, extreme flow estimation, river network parameterisation and numerical modelling of inundation. Progress in each of these themes will be needed to deliver the next generation of global flood hazard data.
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-030-86211-4_15
DO - 10.1007/978-3-030-86211-4_15
M3 - Conference Contribution (Conference Proceeding)
SN - 9783030862138
SN - 9783030862107
SP - 121
EP - 127
BT - Climate Adaptation Modelling
A2 - Kondrup, Claus
A2 - Mercogliano, Paola
A2 - Bosello, Francesco
A2 - Mysiak, Jaroslav
A2 - Scoccimarro, Enrico
A2 - Rizzo, Angela
A2 - Ebrey, Rhian
A2 - Ruiter, Marleen de
A2 - Jeuken, Ad
A2 - Watkiss, Paul
PB - Springer International Publishing AG
CY - Cham
ER -