Serum copper-to-zinc ratio and risk of incident pneumonia in Caucasian men: a prospective cohort study

Serum copper (Cu) and zinc (Zn), essential micronutrients that have important immunomodulatory and antimicrobial properties, are biomarkers of ageing. Serum Cu/Zn-ratio may be a more reliable marker for age-related degenerative conditions compared Cu or Zn alone. We aimed to assess the association between Cu/Zn-ratio and the risk of incident pneumonia in a prospective cohort study. Serum levels of Cu and Zn were measured at baseline using atomic absorption spectrometry in 2,503 men aged 42-61 years in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease prospective cohort study. Hazard ratios (HRs) with confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for incident pneumonia using Cox regression models. A total of 599 cases of pneumonia occurred during a median follow-up of 26.1 years. Serum Cu/Zn-ratio and Cu were each linearly associated with incident pneumonia. A unit increase in Cu/Zn-ratio was associated with an increased risk of pneumonia in analysis adjusted for potential confounders including C-reactive protein (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.17-2.33). The corresponding adjusted HR (95% CI) was 2.04 (1.22-3.40) for serum Cu. The association between serum Zn and pneumonia was curvilinear. Compared to the bottom tertile of Zn, the multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for incident pneumonia were 0.68 (0.55-0.83) and 0.96 (0.79-1.16) for the middle and top tertiles of Zn, respectively. Further analysis in the same participants showed that Cu/Zn-ratio might be a stronger risk indicator for pneumonia than serum C-reactive protein. In middle-aged and older Finnish men, increased serum Cu/Zn-ratio and Cu concentrations are each linearly associated with an increased risk of incident pneumonia.