Skip to content

Spatial Polarisation of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012: the ‘Big Sort’ Revisited

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Standard

Spatial Polarisation of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012 : the ‘Big Sort’ Revisited. / Johnston, Ron ; Jones, Kelvyn; Manley, David J.

In: Annals of the American Association of Geographers, Vol. 106, No. 5, 07.2016, p. 1047-1062.

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

Harvard

APA

Vancouver

Author

Bibtex

@article{e121847edd3043fdb8731cbde7e95e1d,
title = "Spatial Polarisation of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012: the ‘Big Sort’ Revisited",
abstract = "Much has been written in recent years about the claimed polarisation of the US electorate, with substantial differences as to whether there has been greater spatial polarisation, at several geographical scales, over recent decades. To assess the veracity of those alternative views, a bespoke data set showing percentage support for the Democratic Party’s presidential candidates at the County, State and Divisional scales has been analysed using a robust, statistically-based measure of polarisation/segregation. The ecological results provide clear and compelling evidence of a trend towards greater polarisation across the nine Census Divisions, across the 49 States within those Divisions, and across the 3077 Counties within the States – with strong evidence that the differences over time at the last of those scales are highly statistically significant. Within those general trends, polarisation has been greater in some States than others and also within some States more than others – identifying additional geographies calling for further research.",
keywords = "presidential voting, United States, polarisation, spatial scale",
author = "Ron Johnston and Kelvyn Jones and Manley, {David J}",
year = "2016",
month = "7",
doi = "10.1080/24694452.2016.1191991",
language = "English",
volume = "106",
pages = "1047--1062",
journal = "Annals of the American Association of Geographers",
issn = "2469-4452",
publisher = "Taylor & Francis Group",
number = "5",

}

RIS - suitable for import to EndNote

TY - JOUR

T1 - Spatial Polarisation of Presidential Voting in the United States, 1992-2012

T2 - the ‘Big Sort’ Revisited

AU - Johnston, Ron

AU - Jones, Kelvyn

AU - Manley, David J

PY - 2016/7

Y1 - 2016/7

N2 - Much has been written in recent years about the claimed polarisation of the US electorate, with substantial differences as to whether there has been greater spatial polarisation, at several geographical scales, over recent decades. To assess the veracity of those alternative views, a bespoke data set showing percentage support for the Democratic Party’s presidential candidates at the County, State and Divisional scales has been analysed using a robust, statistically-based measure of polarisation/segregation. The ecological results provide clear and compelling evidence of a trend towards greater polarisation across the nine Census Divisions, across the 49 States within those Divisions, and across the 3077 Counties within the States – with strong evidence that the differences over time at the last of those scales are highly statistically significant. Within those general trends, polarisation has been greater in some States than others and also within some States more than others – identifying additional geographies calling for further research.

AB - Much has been written in recent years about the claimed polarisation of the US electorate, with substantial differences as to whether there has been greater spatial polarisation, at several geographical scales, over recent decades. To assess the veracity of those alternative views, a bespoke data set showing percentage support for the Democratic Party’s presidential candidates at the County, State and Divisional scales has been analysed using a robust, statistically-based measure of polarisation/segregation. The ecological results provide clear and compelling evidence of a trend towards greater polarisation across the nine Census Divisions, across the 49 States within those Divisions, and across the 3077 Counties within the States – with strong evidence that the differences over time at the last of those scales are highly statistically significant. Within those general trends, polarisation has been greater in some States than others and also within some States more than others – identifying additional geographies calling for further research.

KW - presidential voting

KW - United States

KW - polarisation

KW - spatial scale

U2 - 10.1080/24694452.2016.1191991

DO - 10.1080/24694452.2016.1191991

M3 - Article

VL - 106

SP - 1047

EP - 1062

JO - Annals of the American Association of Geographers

JF - Annals of the American Association of Geographers

SN - 2469-4452

IS - 5

ER -