This chapter is concerned with the computational and epistemological structures that statisticians employ in order to produce meaningful probability statements regarding meteorological events from simulated and observed data. The chapter is not a description of the actual science or observations that inform climate models, these topics are left to the expert authors of this book's other chapters, nor is it about the numerical methods used to solve the equations that encode climate science. It is about statistical models, modelling flows and interactions of information and ideas rather than physical quantities, and making rational decisions in the face of uncertainty rather than the pursuit of a perfect model for recreating real world climate within a computer.
|Title of host publication||Climate Change|
|Subtitle of host publication||Observed Impacts on Planet Earth|
|Publication status||Published - 14 Oct 2015|
- Climate change
- Statistical modelling