Technical and Sentiment Analysis in Financial Forecasting with Genetic Programming

Eva Christodoulaki, Michael Kampouridis, Panagiotis Kanellopoulos

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference Contribution (Conference Proceeding)

10 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Financial Forecasting is a popular and thriving research area that relies on indicators derived from technical and sentiment analysis. In this paper, we investigate the advantages that sentiment analysis indicators provide, by comparing their performance to that of technical indicators, when both are used individually as features into a genetic programming algorithm focusing on the maximization of the Sharpe ratio. Moreover, while previous sentiment analysis research has focused mostly on the titles of articles, in this paper we use the text of the articles and their summaries. Our goal is to explore further on all possible sentiment features and identify which features contribute the most. We perform experiments on 26 different datasets and show that sentiment analysis produces better, and statistically significant, average results than technical analysis in terms of Sharpe ratio and risk.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2022 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering and Economics (CIFEr)
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE)
Number of pages8
ISBN (Electronic)9781665442343
ISBN (Print)9781665442350
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 19 May 2022

Publication series

NameProceedings of the IEEE/IAFE Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr)
PublisherIEEE
ISSN (Print)2380-8454
ISSN (Electronic)2640-7701

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