The UK Department for Transport values the prevention of a fatality on Britain’s roads at £1.8M (2016 £s). This value is used across Government departments and agencies, including the Office for Nuclear Regulation, as a de facto standard for valuing the benefit of safety measures that preserve human life. However there is no evidential basis for this valuation as it is derived from a statistical analysis of sparse survey data carried out 20 years ago that has now been found to be flawed. The methodology used to infer the VPF has been shown to be internally inconsistent, with the final recommended value being subjective. Members of the public whose opinions were rejected by the survey team actually gave entirely rational and understandable valuations based on human perceptions of utility. Another influential study – used to justify a significant reduction in spending to prevent multi-fatality rail accidents – has been found to be systematically biased against those very people who wanted more to be spent on preventing accidents causing multiple deaths. In contrast to the one-size-fits-all VPF, the J-value provides an objective, rational and statistically rigorous methodology that values the prevention of a premature death in terms of the amount of life that the potential victim would lose.
|Number of pages||8|
|Publication status||Published - 13 Feb 2017|
- Value of a Prevented Fatality
- Stated preferences
- Revealed preferences