Where Did Labour's Votes Go? Valence Politics and Campaign Effects at the 2010 British General Election

Ron Johnston*, Charles Pattie

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)peer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

After its landslide victory at the 1997 UK general election, Labour lost some 4 million votes over the next two elections, and a further million between 2005 and 2010. Commentators disagree somewhat on the pattern of this latter loss. The relative importance of arguments based on sociological and valence politics perspectives on voting behaviour is evaluated here, alongside contextual arguments. Using data from the 2010 British Election Study Internet campaign panel survey, this article looks at the flow of the vote away from Labour from 2005 until the start of the 2010 campaign in April of that year, as well as changes to and from Labour during the campaign itself. Valence politics account for much of the variation, but local context is also important.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)283-303
Number of pages21
JournalBritish Journal of Politics and International Relations
Volume13
Issue number3
Early online date17 Mar 2011
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2011

Keywords

  • 2010 UK general election
  • valence politics
  • local context
  • campaigning
  • BRITAIN

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