With a little help from my neighbours: A spatial analysis of the impact of local campaigns at the 2010 British general election

David Cutts*, Donald Webber, Paul Widdop, Ron Johnston, Charles Pattie

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle (Academic Journal)

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This article examines the electoral impact of spillover effects in local campaigns in Britain. For the first time, this is applied to the long as well as the short campaign. Using spatial econometric modelling on constituency data from the 2010 general election, there is clear empirical evidence that, in both campaign periods, the more a party spends on campaigning in constituencies adjacent to constituency i, the more votes it gets in constituency i. Of the three major political parties, the Liberal Democrats obtained the greatest electoral payoff. Future empirical analyses of voting at the constituency scale must, therefore, explicitly take account of spatial heterogeneity in order to correctly gauge the magnitude and significance of factors that affect parties' parliamentary performance.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)216-231
Number of pages16
JournalElectoral Studies
Volume34
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2014

Keywords

  • General elections
  • Local campaigning
  • Spatial modelling
  • Spillover effects

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